The Potential Impact Of Sequestration

The Potential Impact Of Sequestration

The U.S. is bracing for steep, across-the-board cuts in the federal budget. If implemented, they could mean furloughs at the Pentagon, longer airport security lines and delays in food inspection.

The U.S. is bracing for steep, across-the-board cuts in the federal budget. If implemented, they could mean furloughs at the Pentagon, longer airport security lines and delays in food inspection. Diane and her guests discuss the potential impact of sequestration.

Guests

Jared Bernstein

senior fellow at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, and former chief economist and economic policy adviser for Vice President Joe Biden.

David Wessel

economics editor for The Wall Street Journal and author of "Red Ink: Inside the High-Stakes Politics of the Federal Budget."

Mackenzie Eaglen

research fellow at the American Enterprise Institute’s Marilyn Ware Center for Security Studies.

Susan Davis

chief congressional reporter for USA Today.

Comments

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I don't know whats worse, the never ending lies and scare mongering from the President or a complicit media that shows zero interest to investigate and disclose the facts.

Never mind the fact that the democrats have not submitted a budget in four years and not doing so is in violation of the law, also rarely reported, much of the blame for a do nothing government goes to the democrats.

"Fresh off his golf vacation in Florida, the President yesterday breathlessly intoned that the looming sequester was poised to visit untold devastation on our nation. A government with a 3.6 trillion dollar budget is about to be eviscerated by an 85 billion dollar cut.

A mere ten years ago, this same government managed to get by on only 2.2 trillion dollars of spending. That’s a 68% increase in the budget in ten years. And yet this government will be brought to its knees by a 2.3% decrease in spending?"

February 23, 2013 - 11:35 am

Conservatives say it`s unfair to pose with average Americans,like first responders,as President Obama did.. You have to laugh.T-Party/Republicans could call a presser,and pose with the uber wealthy they`re willing to throw our nation under the bus for.
There photo op could have the Koch, Bros.,and Sheldon Adelson,the Walton`s. Yes they can pose with the new 21st century version La Cosa Nostra.The new crime families who have bought the Republican Party,using "Free Speech" to exchange cash.

February 22, 2013 - 10:05 pm

"Big debt: Between 2001 and 2010, the Bush tax cuts added $2.6 trillion to the public debt, 50 percent of the total debt accrued during that time. Over the past 10 years, the country has spent more than $400 billion just servicing the debt created by the cuts.

Supply-side failure: Far from paying for themselves with increased economic activity as promised, the tax cuts have depleted the public treasury. Tax collections have plunged to their lowest share of the economy in 60 years"."Mother Jones"

30 years of Supply Side economic ideology is bound to collapse sooner than later. Republicans called this policy WASTEFUL SPENDING just a few months ago,during the elections. Now they want to defend to the death their stupid failed plan.

$400 billion in interest to pay for the Bush tax cuts.How many trillions for the wars? We stuck with a privatized military,whose cost has tripled in the last 10 years.Another failed Republican plan..

February 22, 2013 - 3:34 pm

Keynesian economics tells us that $1 of tax hikes or $1 of spending cuts would have identical effects on the economy.

We are told that economists say that the sequester will hurt the economy, but only two months ago we were told that economists said that the tax hike will not hurt the economy.

What goes? They can't have it both ways.

February 22, 2013 - 3:45 pm

I was a "civilian contractor" who used to work at the Tobyhanna Army Depot, the only place that had jobs with good pay in Northeast Pennsylvania, refurbishing military communication equipment.

I was laid off in October 2012. For almost a year previous, there was talk about equipment from overseas already in-storage on premises waiting to be distributed to the repair shops, but no money was ever allocated to the shops for the work. The way the money dried up, it's as if the sequester was predicted early in the year 2012.

Without work, 3rd shift was eliminated, mostly by moving people to 1st shift. Personnel was consolidated to shops that still had work, and they got crowded.

Any remaining contractors are rumored to be laid off by March 31, 2013; I think they numbered around 800 a couple of years ago, and they were whittled down to about 300 by the end of last year.

When many of us were teenagers, we were told that "if we went into electronics, we'd always have a job." I always considered defense electronics to be a "last resort." Now, there is no last resort, anymore. Unemployment Compensation is over, and there's nowhere to go.

Across the isle at the Depot, the civil service workers -- maybe at least half whom are former military, are being offered early retirement, and no one imagined they would ever suffer lay-offs, but there have already been a few, and expectations are for their layoffs to accelerate, too.

The Depot might have been an inefficient elephant riddled with nepotism, cronyism, corruption, incompetence, and sadistic management consistent with soldiers' mentality, but it served well to inject money into the local economy for decades, keeping many lives running. Now, who knows to what extent it's drying up.

[hugs]

February 22, 2013 - 6:48 pm

These debates about government spending cuts always end up in the same place. Is the Federal Government a jobs program, jobs for the sake of jobs at any cost or is it supposed to operate efficiently and within a reasonable and sustainable budget. The FG's primary job is to facilitate private enterprise and not to unnecessarily get in the way of private enterprise. It is to operate within the confines of the Constitution and not be in the social engineering business. People need to understand that the government does not create wealth it redistributes it, until that is understood by more people our economy will continue to suffer.

"It is often asserted that the world has made a great deal of progress since 1776, that we have had new thoughts and new experiences which have given us a great advance over the people of that day, and that we may therefore very well discard their conclusions for something more modern. But that reasoning can not be applied to this great charter. If all men are created equal, that is final. If they are endowed with inalienable rights, that is final. If governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed, that is final. No advance, no progress can be made beyond these propositions. If anyone wishes to deny their truth or their soundness, the only direction in which he can proceed historically is not forward, but backward toward the time when there was no equality, no rights of the individual, no rule of the people. Those who wish to proceed in that direction can not lay claim to progress. They are reactionary."

Calvin Coolidge

February 23, 2013 - 6:27 pm

Progressivism erodes the self-reliance and personal responsibility of the American people.

Calvin Coolidge

"The individual, instead of working out his own salvation and securing his own freedom by establishing his own economic and moral independence by his own industry and his own self-mastery, tends to throw himself on some vague influence which he denominates society and to hold that in some way responsible for the sufficiency of his support…. This is not local self-government. It is not American. It is not the method which has made this country what it is. We can not maintain the western standard of civilization on that theory. If it is supported at all, it will have to be supported on the principle of individual responsibility."

February 23, 2013 - 1:21 pm

The T-Party/Republicans have been shouting very loudly,at every opportunity,wherever anyone would listen that cutting government was the #1 issue.. Not jobs.Not the economy.But cutting the size and cost of government....

THEY`VE SAID CUTTING GOVERNMENT WILL BE GOOD FOR US......SO WHY ARE THEY BLAMING THE SEQUESTER AND CUTS ON OBAMA...??? YOU MIGHT THINK THEY WOULD BE TAKING CREDIT ....HMMM...

February 24, 2013 - 12:20 pm

In the midst of an unemployment crisis with tens of millions out-of-work and our infrastructure crumbling, our idiotic politicians come up with a scheme for gratuitously making another half-million people unemployed. The U.S. needs jobs, jobs, jobs. Our society needs new/rebuilt bridges, highways, schools, electric infrastructure, water infrastructure, and renewable energy.

Our government - a social creation of our own citizens - is NOT like your personal budget. It can print currency to spend into the private sector, to create jobs and grow the economy.  A lot of these people who are worried about the deficit seem to talk about money as if it were some natural resource that will be "used-up" when it's spent.  They think money the government takes in (in the form of taxes) just disappears and is gone permanently after it the government spends it.  Money is just a means of exchanging goods.  

Government takes in the taxes, and then gives the money back to the people again - to pay for infrastructure, to pay Social Security recipients, soldiers, contractors, doctors, teachers, lawyers, police, scientists etc. It doesn’t just vanish into thin air forever.  It’s not consumed like food or burned up like fuel.  It's not put into a paper shredder.  Those people and businesses receive the money and spread it around the economy - exchange it for goods and services from private businesses.   They pay taxes. It's like a circulatory system.

Create jobs, invest in infrastructure, and the economy will grow and reduce the deficit. On the other hand, sequestration is a 21st Century version of bleeding the patient. The results will be similar.

February 24, 2013 - 11:26 pm

What is Sequestration?

se·ques·tra·tion
/ˌsēkwiˈstrāSHən/

Noun
The action of taking legal possession of assets until a debt has been paid or other claims have been met.

The action of taking forcible possession of something; confiscation.
Synonyms
seizure

The User Guide to Sequestration
http://www.wire-news.com/the-user-guide-to-sequestration/

February 25, 2013 - 4:47 am

GOV MENT THIS...GOV MENT THAT.... HATE GOV MENT....
END GOV MENT.... GOV MENT CAN`T DO NOTHIN RIGHT...

I would like to remind our T-Party/Republican friends,millions of Americans have died in creating and preserving our GOVERNMENT... That GOV MENT that T-Party/Republicans hate so much has a name... it`s called

The United States of America... somehow they feel compelled to elect politicians whose goal is to break it, or overthrow it..Can`t tell with these folks anyone..

February 25, 2013 - 10:06 am

Blueneck BillyBob wrote:" I would like to remind our T-Party/Republican friends,millions of Americans have died in creating and preserving our GOVERNMENT"

What happened to "they died to protect theirs and our freedom"? Died "creating and preserving our GOVERNMENT", is this Nazi Germany?

February 25, 2013 - 10:20 am

anorlunda wrote: We are told that economists say that the sequester will hurt the economy, but only two months ago we were told that economists said that the tax hike will not hurt the economy.

Huh? What economists were you listening to? Economists and everybody agreed that "Taxmageddon" would have triggered a recession. As will sequestration.

February 25, 2013 - 10:43 am

I'd like to hear some discussion about how much all the reports, paperwork, and implementation of the sequestration cuts will cost.

February 25, 2013 - 10:42 am

@anna nimitty"
Some truth and some falsehood
"Big debt: Between 2001 and 2010, the Bush tax cuts added $2.6 trillion to the public debt, 50 percent of the total debt accrued during that time. Over the past 10 years, the country has spent more than $400 billion just servicing the debt created by the cuts".
Don't know about the exact figures, but sounds mostly true.
"Supply-side failure: Far from paying for themselves with increased economic activity as promised, the tax cuts have depleted the public treasury."
Patently False. The Bush tax cuts (there were two rounds) INCREASED revenue to the FG, so "supply-side failure" is false. They absolutely DID pay for themselves ... if the Republican Congress that was in power at the time could have stopped spending.
"Tax collections have plunged to their lowest share of the economy in 60 years"."Mother Jones"
Well, yeah. We're in a recession. But trying to link that to the Bush tax cuts is false.
"30 years of Supply Side economic ideology is bound to collapse sooner than later."
Why? You can't defend that statement anna. It's just rhetoric.
When the FG slowss spending, Supply Side economics works. It means more money in the hands of the people to invest whether in markets or their small businesses. It is what creates jobs and wealth. Government spending does not create wealth - it destroys it and enslaves citizens to their government. We're witnessing that today.

February 25, 2013 - 10:48 am

Blueneck BillyBob wrote:" I would like to remind our T-Party/Republican friends,millions of Americans have died in creating and preserving our GOVERNMENT"

Not that guy again wrote: "What happened to "they died to protect theirs and our freedom"? Died "creating and preserving our GOVERNMENT", is this Nazi Germany?"

Dude, in case you didn't notice, your side lost the war after killing half a million Americans. We believe in our nation, in our government, in preserving our Union against Confederate traitors, and we believe that rhetorically linking our great nation to Nazi Germany is offensive and will flag it as such.

February 25, 2013 - 10:51 am

You know, when John Boehner says "We've finished with the tax issue—now it's time to get serious and tackle the spending side," he is absolutely right. But the way he says it is rather misleading. It implies that, now that we've raised revenues, we have to cut expenditures. But in the context of the whole fiscal cliff/sequester, that obviously doesn't make sense.

Remember, the fiscal cliff was both tax hikes and spending cuts. Back at the New Year, "Taxmageddon" was averted (dramatic federal tax hikes were prevented)—thus mostly protecting low tax rates, and saving the national economy from certain recession. So, we've finished with the tax issue.

Now it's time to get serious and tackle the spending side. We have to avoid as much of the sequester as is possible (prevent dramatic government spending cuts), maintaining spending and saving the national economy from certain recession.

Right? Now, Johnny, I'm sure Barry will play nice with you if you just play nice with him.

February 25, 2013 - 10:50 am

Arleen M, $16,581,422,800,000 national debt and climbing, $52,574 per person, $146,595 per tax payer.

http://www.usdebtclock.org/

February 25, 2013 - 10:57 am

Lets see, President Obama goes golfing, doing nothing about spending cuts, something the Republicans desperately want and that's bad. President Bush starts a war and within a month goes on vacation for two weeks. Which was more important as a symbol of leadership?

February 25, 2013 - 10:58 am

Loopholes are costs, not "tax hikes."
Question: Why aren't more Democrats using language "bytes" to express ideas like this one?

from High Point, NC

February 25, 2013 - 10:59 am

The Last Moderate wrote: "prevent dramatic government spending cuts"

2.3% is "dramatic"?

What is a moderate anyway?

February 25, 2013 - 11:12 am

The continued comments by John Boehner and other Republicans calling the sequester "Obama's sequester" miss the point. While the sequester may have been the idea of Jack Lew, the Republicans agreed to the plan. Both parties hoped/intended that the sequester would result in such dire consequences to the fragile economic recovery that both parties would come to the table and agree to a more nuanced, less radical plan. Unfortunately, it does not appear that the looming sequester will work to bring the parties together. The dysfunction in D.C. has become alarming. Most alarming to me is the Republican absolutist rhetoric and to refusal to compromise in the direction of Obama's balanced plan (spending cuts and revenue increases), which is clearly what the American people wanted when they voted for him.

February 25, 2013 - 11:16 am

I wish all the pundits would stop the talk of Social Security being a drain on the U. S. Treasury. What they don't tell us is that the program wouldn't be a drain if the people in congress had not squandered the money and left treasury notes in the till. It becomes a drain because the treasury notes will, of necessity, have to be repaid to the program.

They stole the money, now they are blaming the recipients for the government deficits. Please, stop the lies about Social Security.

February 25, 2013 - 11:18 am

nicely put Diane. The Conservatives want less Government that is ALL they ever talk about so now they are going to get it!! Oh that's right they want to increase Defense spending

February 25, 2013 - 11:21 am

RE 'you should be careful what you ask for'. Cuts in staff at TSA, IRS, etc SHOULDN'T be a bad thing if only the slugs would work with the efficiency and effectiveness that would be required of them in the private sector in order to maintain their jobs. What's doubly troubling is that govt workers are already talking about purposefully working even more slowly than usual to give the impression that the sequester is bad for the public.

February 25, 2013 - 11:23 am

The fear-mongering that is going on over sequestration is not difficult to understand. 2.2% in cuts. Every program, be it DOD, DOE, HUD, or HHS can find that much, cut it, and the citizens would never know it. Everyone agrees there is waste in government. You hear it every campaign season. In fact, I recall our current President saying he was going to roll up his sleeves and go through the budget line by line, right? ... eliminating wasteful and duplicated programs?
The problem with sequestration is, and the reason the President is working so hard to demonize Republicans with it is, it will PROVE that the FG IS bloated and wasteful as so many of us have been saying, and can get by with less. It is the camel's nose under the tent toward smaller, therefore LESS POWERFUL government. The left will have none of it. And instead of permitting Federal department heads to make the cuts as they saw fit, which Republicans endorse, the administration will force the meat axe approach.
Fine. Let's do it.

February 25, 2013 - 11:26 am

These fools on this panel still don't get what Obama is about. He does not want to cut anything, he wants to bring the economy to it's knees to bring about the transformation he desires. A shift away from private enterprise to central planning, a shift away from personal freedom to collective rights.

February 25, 2013 - 11:26 am

Is 'Not that guy again' Billy Bob Neck?

February 25, 2013 - 11:26 am

Yes. He is.

February 25, 2013 - 11:27 am

I'm wondering if congress had to face term limits would they be better at their jobs. Would decisions get made more expeditiously? If the president can only serve two terms, shouldn't the same rules apply to congress folks? If that were the case, the eight years a congress person serves might actually produce fruitful results in that ther time would be short, and getting things done within that time might be the spur in the side that gets them moving-being productive. It's a thought.

February 25, 2013 - 11:30 am

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